Showing posts with label Cedric Benson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cedric Benson. Show all posts

Monday, December 19, 2011

Welcome to the Jungle

NFL Football - Cincinnati Bengals
Originally, I considered naming this post "The Tragedy of the 2011 Cincinnati Bengals", basically because it sounds more dramatic. But the truth is, it isn't a tragedy, not really anyway. What this season is for the Bengals, more than anything, is exactly what we thought it would be.


Well, those of us who are realistic. Realistic people being those of us who didn't start out this season saying the Bengals would be 0-16 or saying that the Bengals were going to the Super Bowl at 6-2. I began the season saying the Bengals would finish 9-7, when they were 6-2 I said they would finish 9-7, when they lost 4 of 5 heading into this weekend I said they would finish 9-7. 


Andy Dalton and the Bengals might
be just short of the playoffs at 9-7, if that is their
final record.
If there is tragedy to this season it is that 9-7 isn't going to equal playoffs, at least it looks that way with the Bengals needing to win a tricky game against a 7-7 Arizona team and then defeat the Ravens who will probably being playing for a shot at the AFC's #1 seed on New Year's Day. Not only so, but the Jets also need to lose to either the Giants or the Dolphins. Both of those games are losable for the Jets, but New York and Miami have been so inconsistent that they are equally winnable.


The real question is, what do we know about the Bengals headed for the last two games of the regular season? What has this season taught us?


1. Rookies can have success
This hasn't been all the Bengals doing. Cam Newton in Carolina and Christian Ponder in Minnesota have added to Andy Dalton's reality that in this incarnation of the NFL, rookie QBs can win now. The Bengals have added their own flavor to the rookie phenomenon, though, as they also have seen great success with rookie Offensive Coordinator Jay Gruden and rookie WR A.J. Green, who appears to be on pace to be one of the next great NFL wide receivers. 


Jay Gruden's hiring as Offensive
Coordinator wasn't exciting, but has
been successful
This has, however, turned out exactly as it should in week 15. Andy, AJ and Jay surprised a lot of teams through the first 8-10 weeks of the season but now that we are deep in and other teams have more film on this trio it becomes easier to plan for them. This is nothing they've done wrong, it's just how the NFL works. Plus, we've begun to see a little Tim Tebow in Dalton and Gruden. What I mean by that is that the limitations of having a rookie QB have become more evident. It isn't that Dalton has played poorly, in fact he has played very well. It is that a young QB makes you limited, partly because he's still experiencing the NFL and adjusting and partly because no coordinator, particularly a rookie coordinator is going to open up the play book for a rookie in the depths of a wild card chase.


No one's fault, it's just how the NFL works.


2. The Bengals need a consistent running back.
The limitations of a rookie QB are only exacerbated when your running game is wildly inconsistent. That is the state of Cedric Benson and the Bengals. If you follow the blog, you know that I have never been crazy about Benson, I had hoped the Bengals would look into some free agent running backs in the off season and was floored when I found out they resigned Benson a day before Ahmad Bradshaw was supposed to come for a free agent visit. 
2012 will be Benson's
8th NFL season, a long
career for a RB in this era
Benson's supporters will surely say that he is about to eclipse 1,000 yards on the season so the decision to bring him back was a good one. However, it is Benson's lack of consistency that makes me question him. He will amass 1,000 yards (well, probably, he's 41 shy) but the way he has done it has been ugly. Going down his game log his yards spike and dip, in the last six games - 57, 41, 106, 52, 91, 76 with only 3 TDs to show for it. This inconsistency isn't good for the Bengals and the type of offense they are trying to run. Now, you can argue that this is also just how the NFL works and I understand that the RB position has changed over the last five years but what about the eye-test on Benson? When it's 3rd and 4 and the Bengals come out in a running formation, how confident do you feel that Benson is going to get the 1st down? 


Do the Bengals go with the
speed of LaMichael James
or power of Trent Richardson?
With a complete back like Alabama's Trent Richardson, a power back like Wisconsin's Monte Ball and a speedster like Oregon's LaMichael James (reportedly) entering the draft, I don't know how the Bengals can't be considering where they are heading with Benson. I'm not saying get rid of him, he could be a great two-back, but in this NFL you don't keep piling responsibility onto an 8th year, inconsistent running back; the RB shelf life is short and you have to get younger when you can.


3. Champs stay healthy
Is there much else to say? Sports commentators will always tell you that often it is not the best but rather the healthiest team that wins a championship. The Bengals have won only two of their last six games but that stretch has a seen a rash of injuries on both sides of the ball. You can't win football games if all of your best players aren't playing and practicing, that just the truth. Not an excuse but a reason. I don't know how a team "figures out" how to stay healthy, but if it's possible, that is what the Bengals will need next season.


4. Roll the Wide Receiver dice?
Justin Blackmon looks good in
black and orange, will the
Bengals have a chance to pair
him with AJ Green?
Along with the Bengals' RB issues there is a need for another true WR. The transcendence of AJ Green has only made it more apparent how truly lacking the rest of the corp is. Jordan Shipley's return to the slot next season will help this, but the Bengals need a true #2 WR to balance this offense and create the consistency that is hampering it right now. Currently there are three WRs in Scout's INC. top 32, the highest of which is Oklahoma State's Justin Blackmon. Blackmon has been fairly prolific with only two games where he has less that 70 yards receiving this season and none with less that 50. Add to that only two games without a touchdown. This type of consistency might be what the Bengals need to pair with Green for to form an explosive offense. (say that in your head like a call, "Dalton under center, Blackmon and Shipley to the left Green to the right, Gresham is the tight-end, James the single back"...scary...)


Is DeSean Jackson a smart
move or a big risk?
The "rolling of the dice" comes when remembering that it is apparent that Eagles receiver DeSean Jackson will not be returning to Philadelphia next season. If Jackson hits the free agent market I think the Bengals need to at least bring him in for an interview to see where his head is at. As I have said in the past, the Bengals cannot afford to bring in a negative influence on Dalton and Green but if Jackson's poor performances and attitude have only been a result of the negativity in Philadelphia and he is willing to renew his work ethic in Cincinnati, he could flourish. Jackson is a big "if" and perhaps even a risk. But the Bengals have had a fairly successful track record of being the haven for want-away players so they might consider adding his skills to the offense.


Blackmon sounds like a better move, brining in another rookie and inducting him into the Gruden-Dalton-Green club before he has a chance to pick up bad habits elsewhere. However, Blackmon will go high in the draft and may be out of the Bengals reach, especially because the RB spot is a much bigger concern, opening the door for a Jackson free agent move. Blackmon will also make the offense less experienced instead of more, which is what you always want. However, if the Eagles slap the franchise tag on to trade Jackson that could complicate the move too, there is no reason to trade away the small fortune the Eagles will surely want. 


For those wondering, if the season
ended tomorrow the Bengals would
draft 21st. Scouts Inc lists Arizona St
ILB Vontaze Burfict as their #21 prospect
I realize this is a "next year" post when the Bengals are still in the wild-card chase. However, one place the Bengals need to get better as a franchise is being aware of their faults and having a plan to address them. The Bengals often know their short-comings but do not begin to prepare to fix them until after the season or even after the Super Bowl when other clubs are already at work. I am only keeping an eye on the future while being in the present. And that eye on the future sees only one word with which the Bengals now need to become obsessed; consistency.


More to come,
XoXo
-Joshua


Links:
ESPN NFL Playoff Machine
Current NFL Standings
Scout's Inc. Top 32 Draft Prospects

Wednesday, July 20, 2011

Let's talk football

NFL Football (yes that's still a thing)

Bengals

After the first few days of the blog has seen topics about "old" football, meaning soccer, let's talk some new football with the NFL lockout approaching an end! 

On the podcast I briefly mentioned the Bengals free-agent needs, but digging a little deeper, here's a list of the Bengals key 2011 free agents, according to walterfootball.com.






Position-Name, Age:
QB-Jordan Palmer, 26
RB-Cedric Benson, 28
RB-Brian Leonard, 26
WR-Terrell Owens, 36
WR-Matt Jones, 28
TE-Reggie Kelly, 33
OT-Dennis Roland, 27
OG-Nate Livings, 28
OG-Evan Mathis, 28
C-Kyle Cook, 27
DT-Jonathan Fanene,28
OLB-Brandon Johnson, 27
MLB-Dhani Jones, 32
CB-Jonathan Joseph, 26
S-Roy Williams, 30
S-Chinedum Ndukwe, 25

Before moving on let us first consider this list, recalling that it's not exhaustive, and reflect on what the NFL lockout has done. When the lockout comes to an end, hopefully tomorrow (7/21), the Bengals will have a 72 hour window to evaluate, negotiate with and resign or release all of those people before they hit the free agent market. Hopefully they've already evaluated all of them, but this is Mike Brown and the staff he's put together...but still, a three day period to workout or cut loose all 18 of those players. This is a process that would usually take months and wouldn't see significant development/negotiation for months at a time in some cases, now in three days.

This is going to be the greatest free agency ever.

Anyway, who jumps off of this list at you? I think it's still Jonathan Joseph that you can at 12:01am the day the lockout ends but after that everyone sort of mashes together. Here's that list again in what I think is order of importance.


CB-Jonathan Joseph
RB-Cedric Benson
MLB-Dhani Jones
S-Chinedum Ndukwe
DT-Jonathan Fanene
C-Kyle Cook
OG-Nate Livings
OLB-Brandon Johnson
TE-Reggie Kelly
S-Roy Williams
RB-Brian Leonard
OG-Evan Mathis
OT-Dennis Roland
WR-Matt Jones
QB-Jordan Palmer
WR-Terrell Owens

Naturally, Jones, Palmer and Owens aren't really important at all. I mean, Owens is already gone and recovering from surgery and Jordan Palmer has done a whole lot of nothing in his NFL career. With Dan LeFeavour already a capable back-up and Andy Dalton QB of the future, letting little Palmer go wouldn't be a tragedy.

I put in Dhani Jones at third partly because I think he's very productive, partly because I think he's a strong leader and partly because I just like him. He's a player who is intelligent, well spoken and actively involved in the community (not the kind of player the Bengals need to be getting rid of), that plus a team leading 125 tackles last season makes him worth at least a new 2-3 year deal. 
Jonathan Joseph is the Bengals
top free-agent concern

As I said in the podcast, I think it's not necessary to resign Cedric Benson, but I put him second because one of the Bengals greatest needs is at the running back position. I think with Benson's latest malfeasance he seems less desirable as signing but I feel the arrest can be turned into a bargaining chip. I'm not saying make Benson swallow a crap contract, he's been too helpful for that, but the overall value of the contract should be able to be slightly reduced when you speak to his criminal record and how it will effect other potential team's image of him (side note, did anyone realize Benson was only 28? Seems like he's been around and fatigued far more years than that.). However, running back is place where the Bengals could upgrade, with the likes of DeAngelo Williams, Ahmad Bradshaw and Michael Bush being available. Bush would probably be the best target, but multiple sources are already making it clear he is going to be tendered by Oakland and probably won't be leaving. Of the two, I'd select Bradshaw. He's a strong runner and I think fits the Bengals system.

How about two RB options from outside the box? Arian Foster and Reggie Bush. 
Arian Foster is a free-agent
pipe-dream:The Texans won't
let him leave

Okay, Arian Foster isn't going anywhere. The Texans would rather burn down Reliant Stadium and dance on the ashes than let last year's break out, fantasy stud get away. But, if he hits the market and the Bengals don't make him an offer, especially with so much cap space to make up, it will once and for all prove how worthless this ownership group is. For those of you wondering, John Clayton writes this afternoon the Bengals will have 46.8 million to spend with C. Palmer and Ochocinco off the books. (And yes, I'm sickly pleased that this new CBA means Mike Brown will have to spend money). 

Reggie Bush is a little more realistic, especially if the Saints opt to cut him which actually seems possible, considering the Saints have 11 running backs on their roster and used a second round pick for one of them, Mark Ingram. (the Bengals have 5 RBs and two are free agents). Dumping Bush and his 16 million dollar cap number would be helpful to the Saints who are low on cap room and have 26 free agents (per Clayton's article). 

If the Saints want a trade for Bush and Mike Brown were a smart man, he'd ship C. Palmer off to San Francisco or whoever will take him for a second and third round pick and then offer the third round pick to the Saints for Bush. Seems like even money considering what he's given them.
The Saints and Reggie Bush
say he wants to stay but
money may say different
The greater point of all this is I really think Busch could do well in Cincinnati. Cincinnati seems to have become a haven for second chances (see Benson) and Cincinnati could build an interesting wrinkle into an offense with a rookie QB if they were able to field a reduced-price Benson and Bush. For the first time ever, that I can remember, the Bengals would have an actual "thunder and lightning" type running game - Bush as the speed back and Benson the heavy-hitter. I have high hopes for Andy Dalton, but anything that makes a rookie QB's job easier is a good thing and a Bush-Benson backfield would make his job easier. Plus, all Bush would really have to do to be a success in Cincinnati is be more productive than Brian Leonard, the guy you'd let go in his place, and I'd like to think a former (and I stress former) Heisman trophy winner can do that. The only real hitch in the trade scenario is that 16 million contract that Busch could bring along with him, that amounts to a whopping 34.1% of the Bengals impressive cap space, not sure that's worth it for a half-time back prospect. 

Eagles 
Speaking of free-agents, trades, and the like, I'm naturally hearing more and more chatter about the Eagles' Kevin Kolb and how big of a trade he is going to be once the free-agent frenzy begins. I just want to throw this out there and I believe Ryen Russillo hovered around this idea on today's Scott Van Pelt Show-is Kolb really worth all the hype he's getting? By the sound of it some team needing a QB is going to sell the farm to get Kolb and you know what that means? That you're going to get a 5th year QB who has started 7 games, played in 19 thrown for 2,082 yrds,11 TDs and 14 INTs with a 60.8% completion rate. Not saying Kolb isn't going to be a franchise QB and an Pro-Bowler, but don't you think you need to make sure you're trading for what you're getting not the hype around him? 

Kevin Kolb has thrown
11TDs and 14INTs in
19 games for the Eagles

While we're on the topic of the Eagles I'm just going to say that I think Vince Young could be a good free agent pick-up for the Eagles. The Eagles would get him at a very reduced price and he would be a capable back up for Michael Vick. I think the strength it gives the Eagles is something I think the Falcons with Vick and the Titans with Young in the past is that they can now structure their offense around running QBs giving them the freedom to work with what makes them comfortable instead of having to conform to an offense that is still based around the pocket passers that are their backups. I still hold to the fact that what has harmed VInce Young's career is that the Titans drafted him and immediately told him he had to be someone different. The Eagles wouldn't have to make that choice. 

Moreover, I think Vince Young would be a good thing for Michael Vick. I think it would be a positive for him to have a protege and a measure of responsibility in the development of a younger QB. Casting Vick in the mentor light could really help him in staying focused on what matters at this point in his career.

Looking forward to the end of the lockout and free-agent frenzy ;)

More to come,
XoXo
-Joshua


Links:

John Clayton's "Cap Casualties"

Reggie Bush on Twitter

Walterfootball.com

ESPN AFC Noth Blog




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