Sunday, December 4, 2011

Oh What Could Be...

As we sit about five hours out from Super Computers deciding who will play for one of our favorite sport's Championship, let's consider what could be.


What if the BCS did this like other sports? Like, oh say, the NFL? Of course, that P-word that sends a chill down the BCS' spine-playoff.


This is what a playoff of the top two teams from every BCS conference seeded by Champions then record (and starting next week) would look like. [with simulated predictions]



1. LSU (13-0)
2. Oklahoma State (12-1)
3. Oregon (11-2)
4. Wisconsin (11-2)
5. Clemson (10-3)
6. West Virginia (9-3)
7. Alabama (11-1)
8. Stanford (11-1)
9. Virginia Tech (11-2)
10. Kansas State (10-2)
11.  Michigan State (10-3)
12. Cincinnati (9-3)

Round 1 (Dec. 10-11): 
1. LSU/2. Oklahoma State/3. Oregon/4.Wisconsin - Byes

Dec. 10, 3pm ESPN - 12. Cincinnati (9-3, Big-East 1st place tie) at 5. Clemson (10-3, ACC Champion)

Dec. 10, 8pm ABC - 11. Michigan State (10-3, Big Ten Championship 2nd place) at 6. West Virginia (9-3, Big East Champions)

Dec. 11, 3pm ESPN - 10. Kansas State (10-2, Big 12 2nd place) at 7. Alabama (11-1, SEC 2nd place)

Dec. 11, 8pm ABC - 9. Virginia Tech (11-2, ACC 2nd place) at 8. Stanford (11-1, Pac-12 2nd place)

Round 2 (Dec. 17-18):
Dec. 17, 3pm ESPN - 5. Clemson (11-3, ACC Champions) at 4. Wisconsin (11-2, Big Ten Champions)


Dec. 17, 8pm ABC - 11. Michigan State (11-3, Big Ten 2nd place) at 1. LSU (13-0, SEC Champion)


Dec. 18, 3pm ESPN - 7. Alabama (12-1, SEC 2nd place) at 3. Oregon (11-2, Pac-12 Champion)


Dec. 18, 8pm ABC - 9. Virginia Tech (12-2, ACC 2nd place) at 2. Oklahoma State (12-1, Big 12 Champion)


Round 3 (Dec. 24):
Dec. 24, 3pm ESPN - 9. Virginia Tech (13-2, ACC 2nd place) at 4. Wisconsin (12-1, Big Ten Champion)


Dec. 24, 8pm ABC - 7. Alabama (13-1, SEC 2nd place) at 1. LSU (14-0, SEC champion) [how ironic]


Championship Game (Jan. 1):
Jan. 1, 8pm ABC (Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX) - 4. Wisconsin (13-1, Big Ten Champions) vs. 1. LSU (15-0, SEC Champions)




So yeah...nobody would be interested in watching any of that...and nobody could make any money from those games. Let's just keep the BCS system we have, it's working out, right?





2011 BCS Bowl Projections

I know I haven't written an article in months, but as I've been trying to tweet out BCS bowl projections I'm realizing there are actually a ton of "ifs" based on the final polls, here's the issues.


1. Did Oklahoma State do enough to get to the National Championship Game? 
No way to be sure about this, the twitter seems to be leaning that way, but we'll have to see. Personally, I think there's too much of what college football is all about ($$) at stake for an LSU-Bama rematch to not happen.


2. Where does TCU finish?
The BCS rules state, that the champion of a non-AQ conference can become an automatic qualifier if:  
  A. Such team is ranked in the top 12 of the final BCS Standings, or,
  B. Such team is ranked in the top 16 of the final BCS Standings and its ranking in the final BCS Standings is higher than that of a champion of a conference that has an annual automatic berth in one of the BCS bowls.
Here's the issue. In the current (not updated) BCS standings, Boise State is #7. With V.T. and Houston losing they should move up to #5. However, the rule is the champion of the conference, that if you recall a little 36-35 victory is the Horned Frogs of TCU. Currently they sit at #18, but if they move up to #16 then they take the automatic spot and in any simulation would almost certainly drop into the Fiesta Bowl. The if that gets them to #16 is a big if though, Baylor, Michigan and Wisconsin are the three teams ahead of them, all of whom should shift up in the final BCS standings. Michigan State and Georgia should fall down but Clemson is behind TCU in 20th and will certainly rise on winning the ACC, this little rule actually changes a lot of how the BCS bowls will shake out. (For those wondering, TCU will stay well ahead of West Virginia who is #23 and AQs for on tie-breaker for the Big East. They wouldn't even be BCS eligible if it weren't for that fact).
3. How Far Does Virginia Tech Fall?
The BCS rules state that all of the automatic qualifiers must be picked first, that means there will only be one spot left open in the Orange Bowl for who is left if TCU claims the spot mentioned above (see, told you it was important). Currently, Virginia Tech is #5 but will slide after losing to Clemson. That should worry the Hookies because Kansas State is currently #11 but with Oklahoma and Houston losing and a fair presumption that voters will give less consideration to #8 Arkansas because it cannot qualify for the BCS and #7 Boise State (because it isn't an AQ if TCU takes that) K-State could easily rise above VT and take the last BCS spot.

4. How Far Do Houston and Oklahoma Fall?
By all rights Houston should vanish from the final BCS standings, however, at 12-1 and Southern Miss being #24 in the current standings, it's possible they might have a parachute for this free fall. There is essentially a 0% chance they make it to a BCS game, but, where they land could impact how other teams move, particularly pesky TCU.

Oklahoma is in the same situation. Currently at #10, they'll slide...but how far?

Let's shake some scenarios out: (*these are based on my projected and logic-based final BCS projections...because I am using logic they probably will not look like the actual final BCS projections)

Here's some basic information, the selection order is Fiesta, Sugar, Orange and these bowls are under contract to take conference champions like this:

Fiesta - Big 12, Sugar - SEC, Orange - ACC

moreover, in a normal procedure all of the AQ schools must be picked before at-large teams can be, however, if a bowl loses their contracted team to the National Championship game they can pick any AQ or at-large team to fill that spot before any others are filled...but...all of the AQs still have to be selected after that (starting to see what a mess this is?)

Now to those scenarios:

1. If everything goes as planned and Alabama meets LSU in the National Championship Game and TCU does not make it to #16 in the final standings:

Fiesta Bowl: 3. Oklahoma State vs. 1(. West Virginia
Sugar Bowl: 5. Stanford vs. 7. Virginia Tech
Orange Bowl: 10. Clemson vs. 8. Kansas State
Rose Bowl: 4. Oregon vs. 9. Wisconsin
National Championship: 1. LSU vs. 2. Alabama

2. If everything goes as planned and Alabama meets LSU in the National Championship Game and TCU does make it to #16 in the final standings:

Fiesta Bowl: 3. Oklahoma State vs. 17. West Virginia
Sugar Bowl: 5. Stanford vs. 16 . TCU
Orange Bowl: 10. Clemson vs. 7. Virginia Tech
Rose Bowl: 4. Oregon vs. 9. Wisconsin
National Championship: 1. LSU vs. 2. Alabama

(this actually gives us a rematch of LSU, Alabama and the third game between Clemson and VT)

3. If Oklahoma State has won over enough voters to get to the National Championship Game and TCU does not make it to #16

Fiesta Bowl: 5. Stanford vs. 19. West Virginia
Sugar Bowl: 3. Alabama vs. 7. Virginia Tech
Orange Bowl: 10. Clemson vs. 8. Kansas State
Rose Bowl: 4. Oregon vs. 9. Wisconsin
National Championship: 1. LSU vs. 2. Oklahoma State

4. If Oklahoma State has won over enough voters to get to the National Championship Game and TCU does make it to #16

Fiesta Bowl: 5. Stanford vs. 17. West Virginia
Sugar Bowl: 3. Alabama vs. 16. TCU
Orange Bowl: 10. Clemson vs. 7. Virginia Tech
Rose Bowl: 4. Oregon vs. 9. Wisconsin
National Championship: 1. LSU vs. 2. Oklahoma State

Other Issues: Of course there are more problems than just this. All four of my projections leave Boise State out of the BCS though I project them to finish at #6. That's a high ranking, but with 11-2 Virginia Tech and 10-2 Kanas State on the table, I just don't see any bowl selecting Boise State even though they are at 10-1, especially if TCU gets the no-AQ conference auto-bid. 

What makes this even hairier is that half of the projections have not just a rematch, but the third game of the year between Clemson and Virginia Tech. There is a catch-all stipulation on the books that says the Bowls can shift participants around for a bunch of reasons including,

"whether alternative pairings may have greater or lesser appeal to college football fans as measured by expected ticket sales for the bowls and by expected television interest, and the consequent financial impact on ESPN and the bowls" (which of course is translated $$)

A third game in a row gives plenty of reason to shift Virginia Tech out of this game, but I don't feel like the Orange Bowl would be motivated to okay the shift for West Virginia or TCU. If they feel a third game could negatively impact the reception of their Bowl, they could skip VT and select 8. Kansas State or even 13. Michigan to fill the void (I doubt they would go the Michigan route and forego 10-2 Kansas State, but Michigan is a bigger school that travels well and that equals, you guessed it, $$). 

So, as it turns out, all we know for sure is that the Rose Bowl will be Pac-12 Champion Oregon against Big Ten Champion Wisconsin, at least something in college football works out the way it's supposed to.

See you soon?

XoXo
-Joshua 


In case you're really curious, here are my projected final BCS standings from which I was working.


[TCU in at #16]
1. LSU
2. Bama

3. Ok State
4. Oregon
5. Stanford
6. Boise State
7. V.T.
8. Kansas State
9. Wisconsin
10. Clemson
11. Arkansas
12. South Carolina
13. Michigan
14. Michigan State
15. Oklahoma
16. TCU
17. Georgia
18. WVU?

[TCU out]
1. LSU
2. Bama
3. Ok State
4. Oregon
5. Stanford
6. Boise State
7. V.T.
8. Kansas State
9. Wisconsin
10. Clemson
11. Arkansas
12. South Carolina
13. Michigan
14. Houston
15. Michigan State
16. Oklahoma
17. Georgia
18. TCU
19. WVU

-I think these are sound predictions, I think the new conference champions really move up, hence Clemson at 10. For both you just flip OkState and Bama if you think they need to be. You'll notice in TCU out version, it is Houston not falling out of the BCS that pushes TCU down to far to make it. I like the first list the best, I don't think Houston is still ranked in the top 20 if at all tomorrow night. I also see the voters letting Arkansas and South Carolina slip because they cannot make a BCS game because two SEC teams are already selected. My logic is, why vote for teams that have no bearing on the final standing?

Friday, August 19, 2011

Over the middle: 8.19.11

Over the Middle


Here's an entry in what I'm going to call, "Over the Middle". Just some quick news and notes with my initial reactions. 


NFL Football
Pre-Season
The second week of the NFL Preseason got underway last night as the Philadelphia Eagles traveled to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers. The Steelers won 24-14 as the Eagles committed five turnovers, three of them being interceptions from Michael Vick. Ben Roethlisberger looked efficient throwing for 2 TDs and the most impressive QB on the Eagles was third stringer Mike Kafka who threw for 160 yards and 2TDs of his own.


My reaction: Hmmm...the Philadelphia Dream Team lost a pre-season game to the team that was in the Super Bowl last season, they must suck now. If my sarcasm isn't coming through clear enough, it's a preseason game and Michael Vick eyes his receivers like a hawk. This couldn't matter less.


Supplemental Draft
Terrell Pryor was declared eligible for the Supplemental Draft that will take place on Monday. The big news was that in declaring Pryor eligible, NFL Commissioner Roger Goddell decided to enforce the five game suspension that Pryor would have had to have served had he stayed at Ohio State.


My reaction: This has received far more coverage than it should, it's truly a non-story. Pryor isn't going to be an NFL starter for any extended or perhaps even consecutive amount of time and if he ever does start it won't be anytime soon. Much ado about nothing. What was more interesting for me, being the life-long learner that I am, was I learned how the supplemental draft works. Teams offer up a draft pick for a player and the team that offers the highest pick gets that player. There's only six available players, you don't have to bid and the whole process lasts about 45 minutes max. The catch is, if you offered say, a fourth round pick for Pryor, in next season's draft, you lose your fourth round pick. Frankly, after learning that, I wouldn't be completely shocked if no one drafts Pryor. I heard the Bengals might be interested in him and thought it would be interesting to watch them take a flyer on him, but after learning an actual draft pick is forfeited for this supplemental draft, I immediately said aloud, "No". Others will too.


Association Football
MLS
Columbus Crew face the Philadelphia Union tomorrow in Columbus with the Crew holding a three point advantage at the top of the Eastern table over the Union. 


My reaction: No reason the Crew shouldn't win. Sadly they've been too inconsistent to make an accurate prediction. It appears Emillio Renteria should return for the Crew and they won both meetings agains the Union last season but the Crew have had a history of coming up short in big games.


NASCAR  
Greg Biffle starts on the pole for Sunday's Pure Michigan 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Matt Kenseth has the outside pole with Ryan Newman, Denny Hamlin and Mark Martin rounding out the top 5. Denny Hamlin won the previous race at MIS in June. Dale Earnhardt Jr., who's last win was three years ago at MIS, starts 8th.


My reaction: Hamlin should be the favorite, after a hard wreck last week he really needs a win. It would be great to see Dale Jr win, but it would be great to see him win anywhere. Don't count out Kyle Busch who have been consistent all year but is really driving hard coming up to the Chase. Carl Edwards comes into this weekend out of first place for the first time in months so a strong showing from him should be on tap as well. 

Thursday, August 18, 2011

A Pirate's Life for Me...

Sometimes I hear things...


College Football
Just when it seemed as though I was on some sort of self-imposed hiatus, along comes who else but the Miami Hurricanes to give us something really, really interesting to talk about. If you've not heard by now, Nevin Shapiro, former Miami booster who is currently incarcerated for a Ponzi scheme has blown the whistle on all of his actions that involved "taking care" of Miami players in such unscrupulous ways as paying for lavish dinners, expensive pieces of jewelry, booze-fueled yacht trips and high-rise hotel sex parties. Shapiro essentially gave Miami players anything they wanted spanning the spectrum from financial help for their mothers to loose women. Shapiro's most egregious transactions involved paying $10,000 to secure the signing of a basketball recruit and paying for a prostitute to abort a baby conceived with a Miami player who had solicited her from Shapiro. On the latter Shapiro commented, "I did it to help him, the idiot might have wanted to keep the baby".


Miami is in real, program killing
trouble.
And there's more, like hundreds of thousands of dollars paid to current NFL players for various reasons, several coaches who not only knew about the actions but participated and more and more and more, far more than I feel like recanting. The Yahoo! Sports report about this mess is 16 pages long. It took almost a year to compile and involved their team sifting through 200,000 pages of evidence. Kudos to them on an amazing job. 


I have two things to say about this. The first is going to make me sound like a homer, but I don't care. Tuesday, when this story was exploding on ESPN I saw, heard and read tweets and e-mails saying things like, "well, we don't know what happened", "let them investigate", "whatever happened to guilty until proven innocent?" Homer time. Where was all of that when Ohio State was doing being accused of violations a few months ago? (Violations, that while still wrong and still punishable, now look like cutting in line at a movie theater compared to Miami). I've been wondering about this over the past couple of days in the back of my head. I've wondered not so much because I love Ohio State that much that I want to defend them, but rather I want to know why Miami, a sunny place for shady people as it's been called, got the initial benefit of the doubt whilst Ohio State was instantly thrown on the flames? 


Jim Tressel once was the standard,
he's now unemployed.
I think there is one easy answer to that question that took on two forms in Columbus. The easy answer is jealousy, of course. Jealousy against Terrell Pryor because we all knew that in reality he wasn't that good, yet he was treated like a superstar. People get jealous of celebrities and superstars easily and they get even more jealous when they perceive that superstar isn't all that talented in actuality (unless that celebrity is named Justin Bieber or is part of the Jersey Shore cast, apparently). Going in the other direction, there was also jealous against Jim Tressel, who, if you want to admit it or not, was the standard by which all college coaches were judged. Tressel was the untouchable, squeaky-clean coach that was above suspicion or reproach. 


So why did Ohio State get immediately tossed in the fire by the court of public opinion so that the masses could watch them burn? Because if there's one thing we as a society love to do, it's bring down watch a famous person who we don't think is all that talented fail. In fact, the only thing we like more is watching someone who presented themselves as the standard-bearer fail and be exposed as a fraud. At Ohio State, it was a two-for-one deal. Think I'm wrong? Still think I'm a homer? Okay, I'll prove it. Name the four other players who were caught and suspended with Pryor. Go ahead. All five. Terrell Prior and...who...? You might know one, maybe two, but unless you live in Columbus (and then its still doubtful) you don't know them all because you don't care about the other four, who were DeVier Posey, Dan Herron, Solomon Thomas and Mike Adams (don't worry, I had to look it up too). What you care about are the superstars that you could watch burn...or could blindly defend because that's the other thing we like to do when punishments rain on our parades.


Terrell Pryor was declared eligible for
the NFL supplemental draft on Aug 22
but will still have to serve a five game
suspension, NFL commissioner Roger Godell
announced Thursday.
To be honest, I don't really know what I'm getting at here, because I don't want to be an Ohio State homer who wants to vindicate the school. They don't deserve to be vindicated. They broke the rules, they lied about it, they deserve to be punished; that's the right thing. It doesn't matter if it was a stupid rule (and it was/is), it was a rule, you break the rules, you suffer the consequences, as Miami is about to learn. In the end, this is simply a troubling observation I've made about us culturally, especially in sports. I have to think, as Doug Gottlieb alluded to yesterday on the Scott Van Pelt show, that we the public have to take a least a little of the blame for the current state of college athletics when this how serious we take a sport that is supposed to be amateurs playing for fun in front of their classmates; so serious that we want to see people fail, their careers tarnished or ended and people brought down to "our level", even though they were only above "our level" in our minds and perhaps tax brackets at all. 


SMU are the most famous recipients
of the NCAA's "Death Penalty"
There's more to say though, because Miami is the story at hand here. Now I just told you, I do not like to see people fail and careers ended, but I do like to see actions punished justly. That's what's happening to Ohio State, as it should. Some are suggesting that only way to do this to Miami is to bring out their most powerful resource, the dreaded "Death Penalty". For those of you unaware, the NCAA Death Penalty involves the offending program (in any NCAA sport) being totally shut down for at least one complete year, the stripping of athletic aid (scholarships) for two years and the stripping of the right for a program to vote in NCAA conventions for four years. The penalty has only been administered five times in NCAA history, most notably against the SMU football team in 1987 and 1988, a blow which set the program back so far that it has just now, in 2010-11, began to recover from it in the slightest.  


Convicted Ponzi Schemer Nevin Shapiro
got Miami players, whatever they wanted;
with other people's money.
Now, as many are suggesting this death-blow is about to be brought out for a sixth time and (this is where my homer jealousy rears up a little), in the light of Ohio State being given no-quarter by that furious court of public opinion in their NCAA violations, yesterday Miami sports personality Dan Le Batard took to the airwaves where he proclaimed that the death penalty was far too harsh for Miami and wasn't a viable option. "Get out of here with that..." he said with a laugh.  Let me ask this in response, just because it's been swimming around in my head for three days. Hundreds of thousands of dollars rolled out merely on request. prostitutes and sex parties arranged with frequency, a private yacht always available for private use and more sex parties, paying for High School player commitments, paying for an abortion, coaches and college officials involved, between 72 and 100 players implicated, several now in the NFL and all of this linked to a convicted Ponzi schemer, meaning he was providing all of it with other people's money. 


Former USC, Saints and current Dolphins
running back Reggie Busch forfeited his
Heisman trophy for NCAA violations.
If you don't hand out the death penalty for this, what in all of God's green goodness do you hand it out for!? Do the stripper poles need to be on the field!? Players and coaches doing narcotics on the 50-yard line!? Seriously!? Reggie Busch had to give back the Heisman Trophy and USC was put on two years probation for an agent buying his mother a house. Terrell Prior and the other four Buckeyes were suspended five games and eventually had to leave school for trading their personal property for tattoos. Jim Tressel lost his job for lying about it (which is still far worse then the actual infraction). Anything but the death penalty to Miami is an insult to USC, Lane Kiffin, Reggie Bush, Ohio State, Jim Tressel, Terrell Pryor and the other four. It would be an insult to anyone who has been hit with NCAA violations in the last few years, particularly USC, who's harsh probation was passed down by a man named Paul Dee, who happened to be Miami's athletic director during the height of the now revealed Miami infractions. 


Is this really worth the monster
that's being created (or revealed)
 in college sports?
It only remains to be seen if justice is served. What needs to be clear in this situation is not that Ohio State didn't really do anything wrong or that Miami is a collection of evil people. It needs to be clear that there is corruption on an incomprehensible level in collegiate athletics that must be dealt with immediately. It must also be clear that we tend to reinforce this behavior with our amazing dependence and concern for the sports. No one is more passionate about sports than I am, you should hear me shout at my fictitious teams on my Xbox sometimes. But when our love for a sport provides a mask for corruption at this level, we need to take a step back and demand transparency and honesty from the people we pay to watch.


Of course we don't demand this of our elected leaders, so I won't hold my breath for our college football teams. 


I apologize for making so many observations about society in this entry, I'll try to keep those uncomfortable things at a minimum.


Now that my rant is over, I'm going to have a shower and watch a nice cleanly run sport...like European Association Football... 


Links:
The Yahoo! Sports article about Miami
NCAA "Death Penalty" in NCAA Glossary of Terms
NCAA Death Penalty on Wikipedia (including all five uses)
What is a Ponzi Scheme?

E-mail the Pritchard Report!!


Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Who's Up, Who's Down?

Thanks to Colin Cowherd, who today unveiled his NFL season predictions, I've spent my day thinking about rankings. Because of that, as I prepare my own NFL season predictions, which will hear on the next episode of the Pritchard Report Podcast, I have decided today to create this article based around a simple but ambitious concept. 

Here's a quick look across the world of sports as to who is trending up and who is trending down. This is gut reaction and it just because a team is trending up doesn't necessarily mean they are "good". Great example that you'll see below, the Cleveland Browns aren't a good team but as an organization they are definitely trending up with a strong young QB and Mike Homegren in charge. 

+ : trending up, a team/organization that has made positive movements or gaining over where they have been.

*: no movement, a team/organization that isn't getting worse but not getting better either. It is possible that this mark could mean some that a team's positive and negative moves are canceling each other out.

- : trending down, a team/organization that making negative or damaging movements. 

Here we go:

NFL Football
Arizona Cardinals +
Atlanta Falcons *
Baltimore Ravens * 
Buffalo Bills +
Carolina Panthers * 
Chicago Bears *
Cincinnati Bengals * 
Cleveland Browns +
Dallas Cowboys *
Denver Broncos -
Detroit Lions +
Green Bay Packers *
Houston Texans +
Indianapolis Colts -
Jacksonville Jaguars * 
Kansas City Chiefs *
Miami Dolphins -
Minnesota Vikings * 
New England Patriots +
New Orleans Saints +
New York Giants * 
New York Jets +
Oakland Raiders -
Philadelphia Eagles + 
Pittsburgh Steelers *
San Diego Chargers -
San Francisco 49ers -
Seattle Seahawks -
St. Louis Rams *
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -
Tennessee Titans -
Washington Redskins -



Baseball
Arizona Diamondbacks +
Atlanta Braves +
Baltimore Orioles +
Boston Red Sox *
Chicago White Sox -
Chicago Cubs -
Cincinnati Reds *
Cleveland Indians +
Colorado Rockies *
Detroit Tigers *
Florida Marlins -
Houston Astros -
Kansas City Royals *
Los Angeles Angels +
Los Angeles Dodgers -
Milwaukee Brewers +
Minnesota Twins -
New York Mets -
New York Yankees *
Oakland Athletics -
Philadelphia Phillies +
Pittsburgh Pirates +
San Diego Padres *
San Francisco Giants +
Seattle Mariners -
St. Louis Cardinals *
Tampa Bay Rays *
Texas Rangers +
Toronto Blue Jays *
Washington Nationals +

NBA Basketball - : it's going to be a long, nasty lockout


NASCAR

AJ Allmendinger +
Marcos Ambrose * 
Trevor Bayne +
Greg Biffle *
Clint Bowyer -
Kurt Busch +
Kyle Busch +
Dale Earnhardt Jr. -
Carl Edwards +
Jeff Gordon *
Denny Hamlin +
Kevin Harvick +
Jimmie Johnson * 
Matt Kenseth *
Brad Keselowski +
Kasey Khane +
Joey Logano -
Mark Martin -
Jamie McMurray -
Paul Menard +
Juan Pablo Montoya *
Ryan Newman +
David Ragan +
David Reutimann - 
Tony Stewart +
Regan Smith +
Martin Truex Jr -
Brian Vickers -

There you go. Quick survey. Do you agree? Disagree? Want an explanation? E-mail me! pritchardreport@gmail.com Twitter: @pritchardreport